11/7: ElectoralCollege.org is disappointed with the outcome of this election. [2024]
Trump won because of two factors that mainly have to do with the failure of the Biden Administration to control the border and the perception by the media that his policies were mainly responsible for inflation.
ElectoralCollege.org supports deporting most illegal aliens that can be safely returned to their home countries. At the same time, the U.S. should pursue financial and political policies that should improve the living conditions of citizens and residents within those home countries. [ir]
The facts are that COVID-19 was mainly responsible for inflation. It caused supply shortages at the same time that the federal government provided over $2.2 trillions in subsidies to individuals, businesses and state government under the CARES Act. Under the influence of the progressives, who falsely claimed that they had received a mandate from the American people in the 2020 election, the Biden Administration provided further subsidies via the American Rescue Plan. That Plan led to more inflation.
What evidence supports our claim that COVID-19 was the main cause of inflation?
AI Evidence Supporting COVID-19 as the Main Cause of Inflation
Based on AI search results, there is substantial evidence supporting the claim that COVID-19 was the main cause of inflation:
- Supply Chain Disruptions:
- The Global Supply Chain Pressure Index showed a sharp increase during the pandemic, reaching its highest-ever recorded value in April 2020 and an even higher peak by December 2021.
- Supply chain bottlenecks were responsible for a significant share of total observed U.S. inflation from 2021 to 2022.
- Shipping and Transportation Costs:
- Spot shipping prices for containers from China to U.S. West Coast ports skyrocketed to more than 1000% of 2019 levels during the pandemic.
- Supply shock impact:
- A Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland study found that supply shocks contributed significantly to unexpected inflation from 2020 through 2022.
- Supply chain shocks were typically larger than any other single shock in driving inflation during this period.
- The COVID-19 pandemic caused significant supply chain disruptions, which were a major driver of inflation. Supply shortages and delivery delays led to higher prices across many sectors.
- Margin expansion:
- Companies raised their margins significantly during the height of the pandemic, likely in an effort to preserve inventory after experiencing shortages. This margin expansion correlated strongly with the spike in inflation.
- Energy and food price increases:
- Rising commodity prices, particularly in energy and food, were principal triggers of inflation. The oil market disruption caused by Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022 further exacerbated this trend.
- Demand surge:
- COVID-19-related shutdowns rapidly rotated consumer demand towards goods and away from in-person services, colliding with supply shocks to generate inflationary pressure.
- As COVID-19 restrictions were lifted, there was a sharp increase in demand that outpaced supply, leading to shortages and higher prices.
- Government stimulus:
- While not the primary cause, the massive fiscal stimulus provided during the pandemic (over $5 trillion) contributed to strong consumer and business demand, which put upward pressure on prices.
- Labor market tightness:
- The pandemic disrupted labor markets, leading to worker shortages and upward pressure on wages, which in turn contributed to inflation.
- Timing correlation:
- The inflation surge coincided with the pandemic and its aftermath. Inflation rose to its highest level since 1981 in the wake of COVID-19.
- Limited role of overheating:
- Research suggests that indicators of labor market overheating played almost no role in the inflation surge, weakening arguments that policy stimulus was excessive.
While multiple factors contributed to inflation, the evidence strongly suggests that COVID-19-related supply disruptions and their cascading effects were the primary drivers of the inflationary period.
ElectoralCollege.Org concludes that the Media and the Republican-sponsored ads distorted the role of the Biden Administration in being responsible for inflation. Unfortunately, the Democrats did not respond. They should have used AI. AI also indicates that we were wrong on the role of fiscal stimulus in the form of the CARES Act and the American Rescue Plan on causing inflation.
Here is what was earlier posted on ElectoralCollege.org [2024]
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Democracy and Immigration (2/2/24)
It now appears that two major issues will be Democracy and Immigration. If conditions don't dramatically change at the border, Immigration will trump Democracy, and Trump will win.
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Joe Biden Should Retire (1/18/24)
It is time for him to do what President Johnson did, and what Associate Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg failed to do. On March 31, 1989. President Johnson announced near the end of his speech "I shall not seek, and I will not accept, the nomination of my party for another term as your president."
It appears now that Biden should have resigned and there should have been on open primary that nominated a candidate who opposed Biden's open border policy and supported his significant legislative accomplishments. Kamala Harris did the best that one could expect under the circumstances.
Biden's Major Legislative Achievements via AI [2024]
- American Rescue Plan:
- This $1.9 trillion COVID-19 relief package provided direct payments to Americans, funding for vaccines, and support for small businesses and schools.
- Bipartisan Infrastructure Law:
- A $1.2 trillion investment in rebuilding roads, bridges, ports, airports, public transit, and expanding broadband internet access.
- Inflation Reduction Act:
- This landmark legislation included a $369 billion investment in climate initiatives, the largest in U.S. history. It also capped prescription drug costs for seniors on Medicare and imposed a 15% minimum tax on large corporations.
- CHIPS and Science Act:
- A $53 billion investment to boost American semiconductor research, development, and production.
- Bipartisan Safer Communities Act:
- The first major gun safety legislation in nearly 30 years, enhancing background checks and funding mental health services.
Other Significant Accomplishments
- PACT Act: Expanded benefits for veterans exposed to toxic substances during military service.
- Reauthorization of the Violence Against Women Act.
- Marriage Equality Legislation: Protecting same-sex and interracial marriages.
- Judicial Appointments: Notably, the confirmation of Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson, the first Black woman on the Supreme Court.
Economic and Social Impact
- Job Creation: The U.S. created 1.6 million new manufacturing and construction jobs.
- Healthcare: The number of uninsured Americans hit an all-time low of 7.2% in Q2 2023.
- Climate Action: U.S. energy transition spending topped $303 billion in 2023, a significant increase from previous years.
11/7: Elon Musk's Fraudulent $1 million a day Seven Battleground State Lottery [2024]
The most corrupt activity during the 2024 election appears to be the $1 million a day lottery that Elon Musk conducted in the seven battleground states. It may not be illegal now, but it is certainly unethical and should be prevented in future elections. The lottery was clearly promoted with a right-wing requirement to sign a pledge to support their 2nd amendment belief in the right to unrestricted gun ownership. This activity needs to be thoroughly evaluated as well as the decision of the federal judge who allowed it to continue.
ElectoralCollege.Org supports a federal tax incentive to encourage everyone to register to vote without any requirement to sign a pledge that favors any political party.[er] [tbr]
Suggested Election Integrity Sites (10/26)-
Brennan Center for Justice.
The Brennan Center for Justice at NYU Law works to build an America that is democratic, just, and free.
Issues: Defend Democracy. Reform Justice. Protect the Constitution. -
Campaign Legal Center - Advancing Democracy Through Law
We're fighting for every American’s right to participate in the democratic process
Issues: Campaign Finance, Ethics, Redistricting,Voting and Elections -
Democracy Docket.
This site monitors attempts to undermine the integrity of the 2024 election in three areas: voter, litigation and election adminstration .- Election Integrity Network (EIN) in AZ, FL, GA, NV, NC, TX
- True the Vote in CA, GA, NY, TX, WA
- The People’s Audit in FL, GA, NV, NC, TX
- United Sovereign Americans (USA) in MD, PA
- Pigpen Project in NV
- North of 29 in WI
- Soles to the Roll in MI
- Iowa Canvassing in IA
Pre-election: removal of votes
These Right-Wing Groups Are Trying to Remove Millions of Voters Around the Country by Matt Cohen (8/20/24) - Election day:
- Past-Election:
Billionaire Tech Owners of the LA Times and the Washington Post Nix Harris Endorsements (10/25)
10/25: L.A. Times owner’s decision not to endorse in presidential race sparks resignations, questions
10/25: Washington Post becomes second major US newspaper this week to not endorse a presidential candidate
8/14: The Corruption of Project 2025 That Was Funded by Charitable Deductions to the Heritage Foundation
- 8/6: Tim Walz stated "JD Vance wrote the forword for Project 2025’s Kevin Roberts’ upcoming book" by Kwasi Gyamfi Asiedu on August 14, 2024 at poltifact.com